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Pockets of new capital will not shift pricing at mid-year.
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The depth of the retro market recovery will be an influential factor in the pace of the cat market slowdown from here.
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Cat bonds and sidecars are well positioned for growth, while private ILS will benefit from further innovations to improve liquidity.
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Competition for remote risk deals intensified as more capital has targeted the swathe of business that has historically been the heartland of ILS.
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The cost of maintaining a team to service institutional investors does not always weigh favourably versus bringing in ILS capital.
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Prior-year cat loss years that are finally shaking out drove fee benefits in Q3.
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Fermat’s John Seo said the industry can “see the wall of money coming in, but it’s coming in slowly”.
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A number of players suggested that the cost components of first-party claims were up between 30%-50% on that seen during Ransomware Wave One.
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A challenge facing the industry in the years to come is the question of how can it move through a rotation of its investor base to capture the growth opportunities that have arisen.
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The obvious question is where is the capital behind the letters of credit that were being pledged on its transactions.
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With fundraising still difficult outside the liquid ILS segment, managers are looking for ways to shore up their economic proposition.
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From seeing ILS as a fleeting competitor to a complement to traditional reinsurance, Denis Kessler’s descriptions of the alternative market were always colourful.
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Removing any competitor is a positive for ILS peers in a competitive time for fundraising, but it is not clear how much of a boost this will give RenRe.
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Capital has begun to flow again after a challenging time for ILS fundraising in 2022 – but there is a clear shift underway.
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There are enough drivers supporting the trend for cat bond segment growth that ILS managers are likely to be plugging this business heavily in the short term, even if it is less attractive in fee yield.
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The new higher-rate world brings the threat of some investors staying in a risk-off mentality.
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ILS managers have pioneered externally managed rated carriers, but have done so with cost-consciousness in mind.
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Reinsurers congregating in Bermuda flagged a lack of interest in helping under-capitalised Floridian insurers and under-priced diversifiers, with positive implications for ILS participation.
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Fermat’s John Seo divided the potential incoming capital broadly into “fast” and “slow” capital.
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Should reinsurers retain the option of playing in ILS, or take a ‘go hard or go home’ approach?
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The outcome over the debate on narrowing cat reinsurance coverage will not be an all-or-nothing bet, with all perils deals with exclusions not a polar opposite of named perils coverage.
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Several structural factors, including the pricing cycle, make insurers more insulated from US activist states.
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High-yielding alternatives are taking away attention from this sector, with its complex narrative around recent losses, and diversification only goes so far in selling its story.
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Announcements and interviews at the UN conference have shed light on the tools emerging to help carriers decarbonise their underwriting portfolios.
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